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Probability
by karan batra - Saturday, 22 September 2012, 12:56 PM
  Can someone give detailed solution to this question????


Q)A shop sells 10 lamps out of which 3 are defective .Sachin
buys 4 lamps Find the probability that atleast 2 of the
lamps that he buys work?
Re: Probability
by Mohit Sharma - Sunday, 23 September 2012, 01:05 AM
  hi karan,
ans wud be

.3483

correct me if wrng
Re: Probability
by vivek 231 - Wednesday, 26 September 2012, 11:36 AM
  hi karan

this is my approach to this problem

first we can find the non occurence of the event and subtract it from 1

case 1 : all the 4 four he bought is good

we can select 4 out of 10 in 10c4 ways

and the good one can be selected in 7c4 ways

7C4/10C4

case 2: 3 good and 1 defective

3 can be selected from 7 in 7C3 ways and 1 defective can be selected in 3C1

7C3*3C1/10C4

from the above two cases we get 1/6 + 1/2 which is 0.666


this is the non occurence of the event atleast two defective

and the occurence is 1-0.6666=0.3334



hope i am right
Re: Probability
by Ravi Kumar - Tuesday, 9 October 2012, 01:07 AM
  i think answer should be 203/210.
we have to find the prob that at least 2 of the lamps that he buys work.
lets find if he don't get 2 or more lamps working
this means that he buys 3 defective n 1 working.
this can be done by 7 ways ..... as selecting working lamp in 7c1 ways and 3 not working lamps 3c3....
so P(A') = (7c1*3c3)/10C4=7*1 =7/210

so P(A)=prob that atleast 2 of the lamps that he buys work.
P(A)=1- P(A')
     =1-7/210
     =203/210
Re: Probability
by Ravi Kumar - Tuesday, 9 October 2012, 01:14 AM
  TO VIVEK 231,

THE CASE U HAVE WROTE IS THE FAVOURABLE CASES OF BUYING ATLEAST 2 WORKING.

I THINK U HAVE FORGOT TO ADD ONE MORE CASE OF BUYING 2 WORKING AND 2 NOT WORKING LAMPS.

CASE 3: 2 GOOD AND 2 DEFECTIVE
2 WORKING CAN BE SELECTED FROM 7 IN 7C2 WAYS AND 2 DEFECTIVE CAN BE SELECTED IN 3C2 WAYS
7C2*3C2/10C4=3/10

SO OVERALL 1/6+1/2+3/10 =29/30

SO THIS IS THE TOTAL P OF BUYING ATLEAST 2 WORKING LAMPS.
Re: Probability
by Sai Pratap M - Wednesday, 26 December 2012, 05:34 PM
  Hi Kiran,
shop sells 10 lamps in that 3 are defective..
so, good------> 7
    defective-->3
sachin buys 4 lamps so total possibilities are--> 10c4==210
in those 4 lamps, atleast 2 lamps will work
atleast 2 means 2 or 3 or all hebuys work
probability for 2 work and 2 defective--> 7c2 * 3c2==63
probability for 3 work and 1 defective--> 7c3 * 3c1==105
probability for all (4) will work----> 7c4==35
                  
solution is== 63+105+35/210==>203/210==>0967

if is there any wrong please intimate me, thank you...

Re: Probability
by nikhil rao - Wednesday, 13 February 2013, 04:28 PM
  11 coins are tossed simultaneously..what is the probability of
getting head in 9th n 10th coin.?
Re: Probability
by nikhil rao - Wednesday, 13 February 2013, 04:29 PM
  11 coins are tossed simultaneously..what is the probability of
getting head in 9th n 10th coin.?
Re: Probability
by suryansh JAISWAL - Saturday, 6 April 2013, 04:30 AM
  2^11-3/2^11.
Re: Probability
by debaditya khan - Monday, 13 May 2013, 12:58 PM
  prob of defective lamp=(3/10)
so P of working lamps=(7/10)
now p of getting 2 lamp that does not work=3c2/10c2=1/15
hence p of getting at leat 2 lamp that works=(1-1/15)=14/15

or
p of getting 2 lamp that does not work=(3/10)*(2/9)=1-15

Ans:14/15.
Re: Probability
by Navneet Sharma - Monday, 20 May 2013, 04:47 PM
  Can u please confirm if the answer is 1/4.

I solved it considering that anything Head or Tail can come at any location except 9th and 10th position. These positions should only have Head . So total arrangements of the 11 coins in this case would be
2.2.2.2.2.2.2.2.1.1.2 = 2(pow 9)

Total arrangements would be 2 ( pow 11)

So probability = 2 ( pow 9 ) / 2 ( pow 11 )
                     = 1/4

Please confirm the answer.
Re: Probability
by Niraj Sinha - Monday, 20 May 2013, 06:21 PM
  Ans: 2^9/2^11 is 1/4
Re: Probability
by debaditya khan - Tuesday, 21 May 2013, 02:50 PM
  Slight modfication:

the prob of selecting defect Xone=(3/10)
& the good Xone=(7/10)
there to get atleat 2 good=(7*7*3*3/10000)+(7*7*7*3/10000)+(7*7*7*7/10000)=0.3871.

Ans: 0.3871